Quae 1775282176 20260404 fre

www.quae.com-R001872 03 01 01 R001872 00 ED E107 02 01 01 Land Use and Food Security in 2050: a Narrow Road Agrimonde-Terra 01 eng 08 403 03 22 7960273 17 01 P4 Éditions Quae 01 01 P4 Éditions Quae 02 01 003323 03 9782759228805 15 9782759228805 03 01 D1 Quae 45 03 www.quae.com-003323 03 01 01 003323 03 9782759228805 15 9782759228805 06 10.35690/978-2-7592-2880-5 10 EA E107 10 02 CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 FR 02 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.0/fr/ 01 R001872 ED E107 1 10 01 02 Matière à débattre et décider 01 01 Land Use and Food Security in 2050: a Narrow Road Agrimonde-Terra 1 B15 01 A2063 16 0000000139758263 21 0000-0001-8805-1918 Chantal Le Mouël Le Mouël, Chantal Chantal Le Mouël Chantal Le Mouël est économiste à INRAE, spécialisée dans la modélisation des marchés et des échanges, en lien avec le changement d’usage des terres. Chantal Le Mouël is an economist. Her main research topics are market and trade modeling, land-use change, agricultural and food systems change. At INRA, she is a senior researcher, working at the SMART-LERECO unit located in Rennes. 2 B15 01 A847 Marie De Lattre-Gasquet De Lattre-Gasquet, Marie Marie De Lattre-Gasquet Marie de Lattre-Gasquet is a researcher from CIRAD. In the research unit “Actors, Resources and Territories in Development” (ART-Dev), she works on foresight as a tool for engagement and support for strategy and decision making at international and national levels in the fields of agriculture and food security, as well as on organizations and networks. 3 B15 01 A166 16 0000000385276550 21 0000-0002-4155-1955 Olivier Mora Mora, Olivier Olivier Mora Coordinateur de la prospective « Agriculture européenne sans pesticides chimiques en 2050 », Olivier Mora est agronome, spécialiste de la prospective des systèmes agricoles et alimentaires à INRAE. Olivier Mora is a foresight specialist at the Delegation for scientific expertise, foresight and advanced studies (DEPE) of INRA, located in Paris. His foresight approach focus on complexity, thinking at various scales and combining qualitative and quantitative assumptions. He works on the futures of different areas such as rural-urban linkages, forest regions, agriculture biomass and global diets. 1 01 eng 08 400 03 01 24 Izibook:Subject Impression à la demande 24 Izibook:Subject Alimentation et nutrition humaine 24 Izibook:Subject Agriculture et productions végétales 24 Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags |Impression à la demande| 24 Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags |Alimentation et nutrition humaine|Filières et produits;Sécurité, qualité alimentaire 24 Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags |Agriculture et productions végétales|Agronomie et systèmes de culture 23 Izibook:NewTags Alimentation et nutrition humaine|Filières et produits;Sécurité, qualité alimentaire 23 Izibook:NewTags Agriculture et productions végétales|Agronomie et systèmes de culture 20 agriculture;alimentation;sécurité alimentaire 10 2011 SOC053000 01 630 03 00 This Print On Demand book will be sent within 3 weeks (metropolitan France) and in a separate package if you order another paperback book.Cet ouvrage en impression à la demande sera envoyé sous 3 semaines environ (France métropolitaine) et dans un colis séparé en cas de commande avec un autre livre papier.After a first foresight study on ‘World food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde), CIRAD and INRA have turned their attention to a new foresight exercise on ‘Land use and food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde-Terra). This new study seeks to highlight levers that could modify ongoing land-use patterns for improved food and nutrition security.Agrimonde-Terra proposes a trend analysis on the global context, climate change, food diets, urban-rural linkages, farm structures, cropping and livestock systems, and explores five scenarios. Three scenarios entitled ‘Metropolization’, ‘Regionalization’ and ‘Households’ are based on current competing trends identified in most world regions. Two scenarios entitled ‘Healthy’ and ‘Communities’ involve potential breaks that could change the entire land use and food security system. The ‘Healthy’ scenario is the only one that makes it possible to achieve sustainable world food and nutrition security in 2050. Nevertheless, current trends in agricultural and food systems in most parts of the world converge towards the ‘Metropolization’ scenario, which is not sustainable in terms of both land use and human health. Therefore, changing the course of ongoing trends in favor of sustainable land uses and healthy food systems will be one of the main challenges of the next decades. It will require systemic transformation, strong and coherent public policies across sectors and scales, and consistent actions from a wide range of actors.This foresight provides a large information base on land uses, food systems and food security and constitutes a tool box to stimulate debates, imagine new policies and innovations. It aims to empower decision makers, stakeholders, non-governmental organizations and researchers to develop a constructive dialogue on the futures of land uses and food security at either world, regional and national levels. This Print On Demand book will be sent within 3 weeks (metropolitan France) and in a separate package if you order another paperback book.After a first foresight study on ‘World food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde), CIRAD and INRA have turned their attention to a new foresight exercise on ‘Land use and food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde-Terra). This new study seeks to highlight levers that could modify ongoing land-use patterns for improved food and nutrition security.Agrimonde-Terra proposes a trend analysis on the global context, climate change, food diets, urban-rural linkages, farm structures, cropping and livestock systems, and explores five scenarios. Three scenarios entitled ‘Metropolization’, ‘Regionalization’ and ‘Households’ are based on current competing trends identified in most world regions. Two scenarios entitled ‘Healthy’ and ‘Communities’ involve potential breaks that could change the entire land use and food security system. The ‘Healthy’ scenario is the only one that makes it possible to achieve sustainable world food and nutrition security in 2050. Nevertheless, current trends in agricultural and food systems in most parts of the world converge towards the ‘Metropolization’ scenario, which is not sustainable in terms of both land use and human health. Therefore, changing the course of ongoing trends in favor of sustainable land uses and healthy food systems will be one of the main challenges of the next decades. It will require systemic transformation, strong and coherent public policies across sectors and scales, and consistent actions from a wide range of actors.This foresight provides a large information base on land uses, food systems and food security and constitutes a tool box to stimulate debates, imagine new policies and innovations. It aims to empower decision makers, stakeholders, non-governmental organizations and researchers to develop a constructive dialogue on the futures of land uses and food security at either world, regional and national levels. 02 00 The Agrimonde-Terra foresight proposes five exploratory scenarios of land use and food security in 2050. They point out a diversity of pathways of change and highlight the fact that we are entering a period of great uncertainty and instability. Agrimonde-Terra’s scenarios also suggest that ensuring world and regional food and nutrition security in a context of climate change is a difficult, long and narrow path. 04 00 PrefaceMichel Eddi, Philippe Mauguin AcknowledgementsIntroduction 1. The ’Land Use and Food Security’ SystemMarie de Lattre-Gasquet, Chantal Le Mouël and Olivier Mora 2. Agrimonde-Terra’s Foresight Approach to Scenario ConstructionOlivier Mora and Marie de Lattre-Gasquet 3. The GlobAgri-Agrimonde-Terra Database and ModelChantal Le Mouël, Patrice Dumas, Stéphane Manceron, Agneta Forslund and Elodie Marajo-Petitzon 4. Land-use Change Trajectories in Existing Scenario StudiesChantal Le Mouël and Agneta Forslund 5. Retrospective Overview of Land Uses at Global Level and by World RegionsMarie de Lattre-Gasquet, Marco Barzman, Pauline Marty and Clémence Moreau 6. The Global ContextMarie de Lattre-Gasquet and Clémence Moreau 7. Climate Change: Impacts and MitigationThierry Brunelle, Patrice Dumas, Christophe Cassen, Stéphane Manceron, Elodie Marajo-Petitzon and Véronique Lamblin 8. Dietary Changes, Nutrition Transition and the Future of Global DietsOlivier Mora 9. Urbanization, Rural Transformation and Future Urban-Rural LinkagesOlivier Mora, Frédéric Lançon and Francis Aubert 10. Farm Structures: Current Shaping Forces and Future FarmsCatherine Donnars, Marie de Lattre-Gasquet, Jacques Marzin and Laurent Piet 11. Cropping SystemsOlivier Réchauchère, David Makowski, Eric Malézieux and Florent Maraux 12. Livestock SystemsStéphane Manceron, Patrice Dumas, Clémence Moreau, Alexandre Ickowicz, Philippe Lecomte and Philippe Lescoat 13. Scenarios of Land Use and Food Security in 2050Olivier Mora 14. Land-use Change Impacts of the Agrimonde-Terra Scenarios: An Assessment with the GlobAgri-AgT ModelChantal Le Mouël and Elodie Marajo-Petitzon 15. Regional Dimension of the Agrimonde-Terra Scenarios: The Example of sub-Saharan AfricaMarie de Lattre-Gasquet, Clémence Moreau and John Okul 16. Lessons on Land Use and Food Security from the ScenariosChantal Le Mouël, Olivier Mora and Marie de Lattre-Gasquet 17. Options for public policiesMarie de Lattre-Gasquet ConclusionReferences Appendix 1Appendix 2Authors <div style="line-height: 1;"> </div> 21 00 06 01 https://www.quae.com/produit/1521/9782759228805/land-use-and-food-security-in-2050-a-narrow-road 01 00 03 02 https://www.quae.com/system/product_pictures/data/000/004/216/original/02659BDW_AgrimondeTerra.jpg 17 14 20241004T203920+0200 15 00 04 02 01 E107 04 extrait_land-use-and-food-security-in-2050-a-narrow.pdf 05 0.78 06 f496e01efb72c2c690f41b93525a029c https://www.quae.com/extract/2865?filename=extrait_land-use-and-food-security-in-2050-a-narrow.pdf&md5sum=f496e01efb72c2c690f41b93525a029c&size=819834&title=Extrait+au+format+PDF 17 14 20181009T133614+0200 16 00 04 01 https://www.quae.com/extract/2865/preview 01 P4 Éditions Quae 01 01 P4 Éditions Quae 04 01 00 20180914 19 00 20181014 01 WORLD 13 03 9782759228799 15 9782759228799 06 03 9782759228812 15 9782759228812 WORLD 08 Éditions Quae 04 01 00 20180914 03 01 D1 Quae 20 04 05 01 EUR www.quae.com-R001873 03 01 01 R001873 00 ED E101 02 01 01 Land Use and Food Security in 2050: a Narrow Road Agrimonde-Terra 01 eng 22 9198897 17 01 P4 Éditions Quae 01 01 P4 Éditions Quae 02 01 003324 03 9782759228812 15 9782759228812 03 01 D1 Quae 45 03 www.quae.com-003324 03 01 01 003324 03 9782759228812 15 9782759228812 10 EA E101 10 02 CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 FR 02 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.0/fr/ 01 R001873 ED E101 1 10 01 02 Matière à débattre et décider 01 01 Land Use and Food Security in 2050: a Narrow Road Agrimonde-Terra 1 B15 01 A2063 16 0000000139758263 21 0000-0001-8805-1918 Chantal Le Mouël Le Mouël, Chantal Chantal Le Mouël Chantal Le Mouël est économiste à INRAE, spécialisée dans la modélisation des marchés et des échanges, en lien avec le changement d’usage des terres. Chantal Le Mouël is an economist. Her main research topics are market and trade modeling, land-use change, agricultural and food systems change. At INRA, she is a senior researcher, working at the SMART-LERECO unit located in Rennes. 2 B15 01 A847 Marie De Lattre-Gasquet De Lattre-Gasquet, Marie Marie De Lattre-Gasquet Marie de Lattre-Gasquet is a researcher from CIRAD. In the research unit “Actors, Resources and Territories in Development” (ART-Dev), she works on foresight as a tool for engagement and support for strategy and decision making at international and national levels in the fields of agriculture and food security, as well as on organizations and networks. 3 B15 01 A166 16 0000000385276550 21 0000-0002-4155-1955 Olivier Mora Mora, Olivier Olivier Mora Coordinateur de la prospective « Agriculture européenne sans pesticides chimiques en 2050 », Olivier Mora est agronome, spécialiste de la prospective des systèmes agricoles et alimentaires à INRAE. Olivier Mora is a foresight specialist at the Delegation for scientific expertise, foresight and advanced studies (DEPE) of INRA, located in Paris. His foresight approach focus on complexity, thinking at various scales and combining qualitative and quantitative assumptions. He works on the futures of different areas such as rural-urban linkages, forest regions, agriculture biomass and global diets. 1 01 eng 08 400 03 01 24 Izibook:Subject Impression à la demande 24 Izibook:Subject Alimentation et nutrition humaine 24 Izibook:Subject Agriculture et productions végétales 24 Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags |Impression à la demande| 24 Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags |Alimentation et nutrition humaine|Filières et produits;Sécurité, qualité alimentaire 24 Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags |Agriculture et productions végétales|Agronomie et systèmes de culture 23 Izibook:NewTags Alimentation et nutrition humaine|Filières et produits;Sécurité, qualité alimentaire 23 Izibook:NewTags Agriculture et productions végétales|Agronomie et systèmes de culture 20 agriculture;alimentation;sécurité alimentaire 10 2011 SOC053000 01 630 03 00 This Print On Demand book will be sent within 3 weeks (metropolitan France) and in a separate package if you order another paperback book.Cet ouvrage en impression à la demande sera envoyé sous 3 semaines environ (France métropolitaine) et dans un colis séparé en cas de commande avec un autre livre papier.After a first foresight study on ‘World food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde), CIRAD and INRA have turned their attention to a new foresight exercise on ‘Land use and food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde-Terra). This new study seeks to highlight levers that could modify ongoing land-use patterns for improved food and nutrition security.Agrimonde-Terra proposes a trend analysis on the global context, climate change, food diets, urban-rural linkages, farm structures, cropping and livestock systems, and explores five scenarios. Three scenarios entitled ‘Metropolization’, ‘Regionalization’ and ‘Households’ are based on current competing trends identified in most world regions. Two scenarios entitled ‘Healthy’ and ‘Communities’ involve potential breaks that could change the entire land use and food security system. The ‘Healthy’ scenario is the only one that makes it possible to achieve sustainable world food and nutrition security in 2050. Nevertheless, current trends in agricultural and food systems in most parts of the world converge towards the ‘Metropolization’ scenario, which is not sustainable in terms of both land use and human health. Therefore, changing the course of ongoing trends in favor of sustainable land uses and healthy food systems will be one of the main challenges of the next decades. It will require systemic transformation, strong and coherent public policies across sectors and scales, and consistent actions from a wide range of actors.This foresight provides a large information base on land uses, food systems and food security and constitutes a tool box to stimulate debates, imagine new policies and innovations. It aims to empower decision makers, stakeholders, non-governmental organizations and researchers to develop a constructive dialogue on the futures of land uses and food security at either world, regional and national levels. This Print On Demand book will be sent within 3 weeks (metropolitan France) and in a separate package if you order another paperback book.After a first foresight study on ‘World food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde), CIRAD and INRA have turned their attention to a new foresight exercise on ‘Land use and food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde-Terra). This new study seeks to highlight levers that could modify ongoing land-use patterns for improved food and nutrition security.Agrimonde-Terra proposes a trend analysis on the global context, climate change, food diets, urban-rural linkages, farm structures, cropping and livestock systems, and explores five scenarios. Three scenarios entitled ‘Metropolization’, ‘Regionalization’ and ‘Households’ are based on current competing trends identified in most world regions. Two scenarios entitled ‘Healthy’ and ‘Communities’ involve potential breaks that could change the entire land use and food security system. The ‘Healthy’ scenario is the only one that makes it possible to achieve sustainable world food and nutrition security in 2050. Nevertheless, current trends in agricultural and food systems in most parts of the world converge towards the ‘Metropolization’ scenario, which is not sustainable in terms of both land use and human health. Therefore, changing the course of ongoing trends in favor of sustainable land uses and healthy food systems will be one of the main challenges of the next decades. It will require systemic transformation, strong and coherent public policies across sectors and scales, and consistent actions from a wide range of actors.This foresight provides a large information base on land uses, food systems and food security and constitutes a tool box to stimulate debates, imagine new policies and innovations. It aims to empower decision makers, stakeholders, non-governmental organizations and researchers to develop a constructive dialogue on the futures of land uses and food security at either world, regional and national levels. 02 00 The Agrimonde-Terra foresight proposes five exploratory scenarios of land use and food security in 2050. They point out a diversity of pathways of change and highlight the fact that we are entering a period of great uncertainty and instability. Agrimonde-Terra’s scenarios also suggest that ensuring world and regional food and nutrition security in a context of climate change is a difficult, long and narrow path. 04 00 PrefaceMichel Eddi, Philippe Mauguin AcknowledgementsIntroduction 1. The ’Land Use and Food Security’ SystemMarie de Lattre-Gasquet, Chantal Le Mouël and Olivier Mora 2. Agrimonde-Terra’s Foresight Approach to Scenario ConstructionOlivier Mora and Marie de Lattre-Gasquet 3. The GlobAgri-Agrimonde-Terra Database and ModelChantal Le Mouël, Patrice Dumas, Stéphane Manceron, Agneta Forslund and Elodie Marajo-Petitzon 4. Land-use Change Trajectories in Existing Scenario StudiesChantal Le Mouël and Agneta Forslund 5. Retrospective Overview of Land Uses at Global Level and by World RegionsMarie de Lattre-Gasquet, Marco Barzman, Pauline Marty and Clémence Moreau 6. The Global ContextMarie de Lattre-Gasquet and Clémence Moreau 7. Climate Change: Impacts and MitigationThierry Brunelle, Patrice Dumas, Christophe Cassen, Stéphane Manceron, Elodie Marajo-Petitzon and Véronique Lamblin 8. Dietary Changes, Nutrition Transition and the Future of Global DietsOlivier Mora 9. Urbanization, Rural Transformation and Future Urban-Rural LinkagesOlivier Mora, Frédéric Lançon and Francis Aubert 10. Farm Structures: Current Shaping Forces and Future FarmsCatherine Donnars, Marie de Lattre-Gasquet, Jacques Marzin and Laurent Piet 11. Cropping SystemsOlivier Réchauchère, David Makowski, Eric Malézieux and Florent Maraux 12. Livestock SystemsStéphane Manceron, Patrice Dumas, Clémence Moreau, Alexandre Ickowicz, Philippe Lecomte and Philippe Lescoat 13. Scenarios of Land Use and Food Security in 2050Olivier Mora 14. Land-use Change Impacts of the Agrimonde-Terra Scenarios: An Assessment with the GlobAgri-AgT ModelChantal Le Mouël and Elodie Marajo-Petitzon 15. Regional Dimension of the Agrimonde-Terra Scenarios: The Example of sub-Saharan AfricaMarie de Lattre-Gasquet, Clémence Moreau and John Okul 16. Lessons on Land Use and Food Security from the ScenariosChantal Le Mouël, Olivier Mora and Marie de Lattre-Gasquet 17. Options for public policiesMarie de Lattre-Gasquet ConclusionReferences Appendix 1Appendix 2Authors <div style="line-height: 1;"> </div> 21 00 06 01 https://www.quae.com/produit/1521/9782759228805/land-use-and-food-security-in-2050-a-narrow-road 01 00 03 02 https://www.quae.com/system/product_pictures/data/000/004/216/original/02659BDW_AgrimondeTerra.jpg 17 14 20241004T203920+0200 16 00 04 01 https://www.quae.com/extract/2865/preview 01 P4 Éditions Quae 01 01 P4 Éditions Quae 04 01 00 20181014 19 00 20181014 01 WORLD 13 03 9782759228799 15 9782759228799 06 03 9782759228805 15 9782759228805 WORLD 08 Éditions Quae 04 01 00 20181014 03 01 D1 Quae 20 04 05 01 EUR www.quae.com-003404 03 01 01 003404 03 9782759228799 15 9782759228799 00 BA 02 145 mm 01 210 mm 08 720 gr 02 10 01 02 Matière à débattre et décider 01 01 Land Use and Food Security in 2050: a Narrow Road Agrimonde-Terra 1 B15 01 A2063 16 0000000139758263 21 0000-0001-8805-1918 Chantal Le Mouël Le Mouël, Chantal Chantal Le Mouël Chantal Le Mouël est économiste à INRAE, spécialisée dans la modélisation des marchés et des échanges, en lien avec le changement d’usage des terres. Chantal Le Mouël is an economist. Her main research topics are market and trade modeling, land-use change, agricultural and food systems change. At INRA, she is a senior researcher, working at the SMART-LERECO unit located in Rennes. 2 B15 01 A847 Marie De Lattre-Gasquet De Lattre-Gasquet, Marie Marie De Lattre-Gasquet Marie de Lattre-Gasquet is a researcher from CIRAD. In the research unit “Actors, Resources and Territories in Development” (ART-Dev), she works on foresight as a tool for engagement and support for strategy and decision making at international and national levels in the fields of agriculture and food security, as well as on organizations and networks. 3 B15 01 A166 16 0000000385276550 21 0000-0002-4155-1955 Olivier Mora Mora, Olivier Olivier Mora Coordinateur de la prospective « Agriculture européenne sans pesticides chimiques en 2050 », Olivier Mora est agronome, spécialiste de la prospective des systèmes agricoles et alimentaires à INRAE. Olivier Mora is a foresight specialist at the Delegation for scientific expertise, foresight and advanced studies (DEPE) of INRA, located in Paris. His foresight approach focus on complexity, thinking at various scales and combining qualitative and quantitative assumptions. He works on the futures of different areas such as rural-urban linkages, forest regions, agriculture biomass and global diets. 1 01 eng 00 400 03 01 24 Izibook:Subject Impression à la demande 24 Izibook:Subject Alimentation et nutrition humaine 24 Izibook:Subject Agriculture et productions végétales 24 Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags |Impression à la demande| 24 Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags |Alimentation et nutrition humaine|Filières et produits;Sécurité, qualité alimentaire 24 Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags |Agriculture et productions végétales|Agronomie et systèmes de culture 23 Izibook:NewTags Alimentation et nutrition humaine|Filières et produits;Sécurité, qualité alimentaire 23 Izibook:NewTags Agriculture et productions végétales|Agronomie et systèmes de culture 20 agriculture;alimentation;sécurité alimentaire 10 2011 SOC053000 01 630 03 00 This Print On Demand book will be sent within 3 weeks (metropolitan France) and in a separate package if you order another paperback book.Cet ouvrage en impression à la demande sera envoyé sous 3 semaines environ (France métropolitaine) et dans un colis séparé en cas de commande avec un autre livre papier.After a first foresight study on ‘World food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde), CIRAD and INRA have turned their attention to a new foresight exercise on ‘Land use and food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde-Terra). This new study seeks to highlight levers that could modify ongoing land-use patterns for improved food and nutrition security.Agrimonde-Terra proposes a trend analysis on the global context, climate change, food diets, urban-rural linkages, farm structures, cropping and livestock systems, and explores five scenarios. Three scenarios entitled ‘Metropolization’, ‘Regionalization’ and ‘Households’ are based on current competing trends identified in most world regions. Two scenarios entitled ‘Healthy’ and ‘Communities’ involve potential breaks that could change the entire land use and food security system. The ‘Healthy’ scenario is the only one that makes it possible to achieve sustainable world food and nutrition security in 2050. Nevertheless, current trends in agricultural and food systems in most parts of the world converge towards the ‘Metropolization’ scenario, which is not sustainable in terms of both land use and human health. Therefore, changing the course of ongoing trends in favor of sustainable land uses and healthy food systems will be one of the main challenges of the next decades. It will require systemic transformation, strong and coherent public policies across sectors and scales, and consistent actions from a wide range of actors.This foresight provides a large information base on land uses, food systems and food security and constitutes a tool box to stimulate debates, imagine new policies and innovations. It aims to empower decision makers, stakeholders, non-governmental organizations and researchers to develop a constructive dialogue on the futures of land uses and food security at either world, regional and national levels. This Print On Demand book will be sent within 3 weeks (metropolitan France) and in a separate package if you order another paperback book.After a first foresight study on ‘World food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde), CIRAD and INRA have turned their attention to a new foresight exercise on ‘Land use and food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde-Terra). This new study seeks to highlight levers that could modify ongoing land-use patterns for improved food and nutrition security.Agrimonde-Terra proposes a trend analysis on the global context, climate change, food diets, urban-rural linkages, farm structures, cropping and livestock systems, and explores five scenarios. Three scenarios entitled ‘Metropolization’, ‘Regionalization’ and ‘Households’ are based on current competing trends identified in most world regions. Two scenarios entitled ‘Healthy’ and ‘Communities’ involve potential breaks that could change the entire land use and food security system. The ‘Healthy’ scenario is the only one that makes it possible to achieve sustainable world food and nutrition security in 2050. Nevertheless, current trends in agricultural and food systems in most parts of the world converge towards the ‘Metropolization’ scenario, which is not sustainable in terms of both land use and human health. Therefore, changing the course of ongoing trends in favor of sustainable land uses and healthy food systems will be one of the main challenges of the next decades. It will require systemic transformation, strong and coherent public policies across sectors and scales, and consistent actions from a wide range of actors.This foresight provides a large information base on land uses, food systems and food security and constitutes a tool box to stimulate debates, imagine new policies and innovations. It aims to empower decision makers, stakeholders, non-governmental organizations and researchers to develop a constructive dialogue on the futures of land uses and food security at either world, regional and national levels. 02 00 The Agrimonde-Terra foresight proposes five exploratory scenarios of land use and food security in 2050. They point out a diversity of pathways of change and highlight the fact that we are entering a period of great uncertainty and instability. Agrimonde-Terra’s scenarios also suggest that ensuring world and regional food and nutrition security in a context of climate change is a difficult, long and narrow path. 04 00 PrefaceMichel Eddi, Philippe Mauguin AcknowledgementsIntroduction 1. The ’Land Use and Food Security’ SystemMarie de Lattre-Gasquet, Chantal Le Mouël and Olivier Mora 2. Agrimonde-Terra’s Foresight Approach to Scenario ConstructionOlivier Mora and Marie de Lattre-Gasquet 3. The GlobAgri-Agrimonde-Terra Database and ModelChantal Le Mouël, Patrice Dumas, Stéphane Manceron, Agneta Forslund and Elodie Marajo-Petitzon 4. Land-use Change Trajectories in Existing Scenario StudiesChantal Le Mouël and Agneta Forslund 5. Retrospective Overview of Land Uses at Global Level and by World RegionsMarie de Lattre-Gasquet, Marco Barzman, Pauline Marty and Clémence Moreau 6. The Global ContextMarie de Lattre-Gasquet and Clémence Moreau 7. Climate Change: Impacts and MitigationThierry Brunelle, Patrice Dumas, Christophe Cassen, Stéphane Manceron, Elodie Marajo-Petitzon and Véronique Lamblin 8. Dietary Changes, Nutrition Transition and the Future of Global DietsOlivier Mora 9. Urbanization, Rural Transformation and Future Urban-Rural LinkagesOlivier Mora, Frédéric Lançon and Francis Aubert 10. Farm Structures: Current Shaping Forces and Future FarmsCatherine Donnars, Marie de Lattre-Gasquet, Jacques Marzin and Laurent Piet 11. Cropping SystemsOlivier Réchauchère, David Makowski, Eric Malézieux and Florent Maraux 12. Livestock SystemsStéphane Manceron, Patrice Dumas, Clémence Moreau, Alexandre Ickowicz, Philippe Lecomte and Philippe Lescoat 13. Scenarios of Land Use and Food Security in 2050Olivier Mora 14. Land-use Change Impacts of the Agrimonde-Terra Scenarios: An Assessment with the GlobAgri-AgT ModelChantal Le Mouël and Elodie Marajo-Petitzon 15. Regional Dimension of the Agrimonde-Terra Scenarios: The Example of sub-Saharan AfricaMarie de Lattre-Gasquet, Clémence Moreau and John Okul 16. Lessons on Land Use and Food Security from the ScenariosChantal Le Mouël, Olivier Mora and Marie de Lattre-Gasquet 17. Options for public policiesMarie de Lattre-Gasquet ConclusionReferences Appendix 1Appendix 2Authors <div style="line-height: 1;"> </div> 21 00 06 01 https://www.quae.com/produit/1521/9782759228805/land-use-and-food-security-in-2050-a-narrow-road 01 00 03 02 https://www.quae.com/system/product_pictures/data/000/004/216/original/02659BDW_AgrimondeTerra.jpg 17 14 20241004T203920+0200 16 00 04 01 https://www.quae.com/extract/2865/preview 01 P4 Éditions Quae 01 01 P4 Éditions Quae 04 01 00 20181014 19 00 20181014 01 WORLD 27 03 9782759228805 15 9782759228805 27 03 9782759228812 15 9782759228812 WORLD 08 Éditions Quae 04 01 00 20181014 03 01 D1 Quae 21 04 05 45.00 01 5.50 2.35 EUR 01