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20260608
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www.quae.com-004730
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9782759243013
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9782759243013
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Update Sciences & technologies
Cette collection publie des ouvrages en français ou en anglais faisant le point sur des avancées récentes dans les domaines des sciences et des technologies. Elle est destinée aux spécialistes du domaine.
01
01
The futures of livestock farming in agri-food systems
Foresight analysis and multicriteria assessment of scenarios
1
B15
01
A2766
21
0000-0002-3593-0334
Aurélie Wilfart
Wilfart, Aurélie
Aurélie
Wilfart
<p>Aurélie Wilfart est agronome zootechnicienne et ingénieure de recherche à INRAE (UMR SAS). Son domaine de recherche porte sur l’évaluation environnementale et multicritère des systèmes d’élevages terrestres et aquatiques, à différentes échelles spatiales, essentiellement en France et en Europe.</p>
<p>Aurélie Wilfart is an agricultural zootechnician and research engineer at INRAE (UMR SAS). Her focus of research is on the environmental and multicriteria assessment of livestock farming and aquaculture systems at different spatial scales, mostly in France and Europe.</p>
2
B15
01
A2767
21
0000-0003-3127-7208
Jonathan Vayssières
Vayssières, Jonathan
Jonathan
Vayssières
<p>Jonathan Vayssières est agronome modélisateur et chercheur au Cirad (UMR Selmet). Il mène des recherches sur la modélisation intégrée et pluri-niveaux des stock-flux de matière et d’énergie dans les territoires agricoles en Afrique de l’Ouest et dans les îles de l’Océan indien.</p>
<p>Jonathan Vayssières is an agronomist specialized in modelling and researcher at CIRAD (UMR Selmet). His focus of research is on integrated, multi-level modelling of material and energy stocks and flows in agricultural territories in West Africa and the Indian Ocean islands.</p>
01
eng
00
212
03
02
24
Izibook:Subject
Pays du sud
24
Izibook:Subject
Milieux naturels et environnement
24
Izibook:Subject
Élevage et productions animales
24
Izibook:Subject
Alimentation et nutrition humaine
24
Izibook:Subject
Sciences sociales, politiques, économiques
24
Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Pays du sud|
24
Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Milieux naturels et environnement|Territoire et espace rural
24
Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Élevage et productions animales|Systèmes d’élevage
24
Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Alimentation et nutrition humaine|Sécurité, qualité alimentaire
24
Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Sciences sociales, politiques, économiques|Politiques. Expertise;Développement, développement durable
23
Izibook:NewTags
Milieux naturels et environnement|Territoire et espace rural
23
Izibook:NewTags
Élevage et productions animales|Systèmes d’élevage
23
Izibook:NewTags
Alimentation et nutrition humaine|Sécurité, qualité alimentaire
23
Izibook:NewTags
Sciences sociales, politiques, économiques|Politiques. Expertise;Développement, développement durable
20
Système alimentaire;élevage;territoire;agriculture
10
2011
TEC003020
29
3070
29
3082
01
303
01
636
03
00
<p>The global food system is facing three major challenges: providing food security, protecting the environment and improving human health. These challenges place livestock farming at a crossroads. However, changes in diets, population growth and changes in the agricultural landscape vary depending on the regions of the world. These dynamics raise questions about the role of livestock farming in territories, the types of farming, its impacts and the services it can provide. How can we anticipate these changes and assess their consequences?</p><p>This book presents several different foresight studies that were carried out in different contexts (Global North and Global South) and at different scales (from local to global). It examines the connection between qualitative (joint) scenario building methods and quantitative modelling and assessment approaches. This work also explores the time sequence for the foresight–modelling–assessment cycle, identifying key variables, using data and the role stakeholders play in this whole process, especially when it comes to using these results to make decisions.</p><p>This book is based on work arising from the Research School that was organized by INRAE and CIRAD within the framework of the Macro-Livestock-Environment Joint Technology Network (RMT MAELE). The target audience is the scientific community engaged in interdisciplinary approaches. It will also be of interest to anyone working with agriculture, the environment and food, as well as to persons working in the field of sustainable agricultural development.</p><div><br></div>
02
00
<p>This book explores the integration of qualitative foresight approaches and quantitative modelling and assessment methods to anticipate the future of livestock farming within agri-food systems and its implications for the sustainable development of regions. </p>
04
00
<h4>Preface</h4><h4>Acknowledgements</h4><h4>General introduction</h4><h6>Aurélie Wilfart, Sandrine Espagnol, Mathieu Vigne, Olivier Mora and Jonathan Vayssières</h6><h3>Part 1. Foresight studies and changes in livestock farming within territories</h3><h4>Chapter 1. Foresight and questions surrounding livestock farming</h4><h6>Olivier Mora and Audrey Béthinger</h6><h5>Introduction to foresight approaches</h5><h5>Role of foresight analysis and scenarios in addressing uncertainty and complexity</h5><h5>The challenge of livestock farming in global foresight scenarios</h5><h5>Diverse ways of approaching the future of livestock farming</h5><h4>Chapter 2. Agriculture in Brittany in 2040: an exploratory foresight study in the region of Brittany</h4><h6>Maud Marguet</h6><h5>The start of the project</h5><h5>Baseline studies prior to constructing a foresight system</h5><h5>Building foresight systems</h5><h5>Conclusion</h5><h4>Chapter 3. Towards peaceful transhumance at the border between Togo and Burkina Faso. A territorial and anticipatory approach</h4><h6>Jean-Michel Sourisseau and Véronique Ancey</h6><h5>Study background and objectives</h5><h5>General approach</h5><h5>Outcomes and lessons learned</h5><h5>Perspectives</h5><h5>Conclusions</h5><h4>Chapter 4. Transition(s) 2050, prospective modelling of the French agricultural and food sectors</h4><h6>Antoine Pierart</h6><h5>Introduction</h5><h5>Methodology</h5><h5>Limitations and outlooks</h5><h5>Coupling “foresight and assessment”</h5><h5>Conclusion</h5><h4>Chapter 5. The importance of livestock farming and animal products in the Agrimonde-Terra foresight project on land use and global food security in 2050</h4><h6>Olivier Mora and Chantal Le Mouël</h6><h5>The Agrimonde-Terra method: combination of a scenario method and digital simulation approach</h5><h5>Land use and global food security scenarios and their quantified impacts</h5><h5>Future challenges of livestock production for food and nutrition security</h5><h5>Limitations of livestock quantification in Agrimonde-Terra scenarios</h5><h5>Conclusion</h5><h3>Part 2. The inclusion of modelling and scenario assessments in foresight approaches</h3><h4>Chapter 6. Introduction to scenario modelling and assessments</h4><h6>Jonathan Vayssières, Mathieu Vigne and Aurélie Wilfart</h6><h5>Why do scenarios from foresight studies need to be modelled and assessed?</h5><h5>An introduction to modelling and assessment approaches</h5><h5>Four studies illustrating the diversity of modelling-assessment methods and their use in foresight studies</h5><h4>Chapter 7. Use of the MAELIA platform to perform an integrated assessment and modelling of agricultural systems and farmlands within a foresight approach</h4><h6>Olivier Therond</h6><h5>From sustainability issues to integrated approaches</h5><h5>Yes, there needs to be integration, but of what?</h5><h5>An integrated modelling approach to territories</h5><h5>MAELIA, an integrated assessment and modelling platform for agricultural systems and farmlands</h5><h5>MAELIA, supporting dynamics in several application areas</h5><h5>MAELIA, streamlining research and supporting agriculture and bioeconomy actors</h5><h5>Specific features of the MAELIA platform</h5><h5>Maelia to support territorial foresight approaches</h5><h4>Chapter 8. Assessing the multifunctionality of livestock grazing systems within territories: examples from the Sahel and South-East Asia</h4><h6>Alexandre Ickowicz, Mélanie Blanchard, Vincent Blanfort, Jean Daniel Cesaro, Christian Corniaux, Arona Diaw, Bernard Hubert, Jacques Lasseur, Huyen Le Thi Thanh, Jean-Pierre Müller, Liz Wedderburn</h6><h5>Introduction</h5><h5>Why apply a multifunctionality concept to livestock grazing systems</h5><h5>Building a multifunctional conceptual model to support the dynamics of local livestock grazing systems</h5><h5>Case studies using a multifunctionality approach to livestock farming in Vietnam and Senegal</h5><h5>Transversal multifunctionality analysis</h5><h5>Conclusion</h5><h4>Chapter 9. Afterres 2050: from creating scenarios to assessing them</h4><h6>Christian Couturier</h6><h5>History and objectives of the Afterres 2050 scenario</h5><h5>Foundations of the approach</h5><h5>Exploring the Afterres 2050 scenario</h5><h5>Targets</h5><h4>Chapter 10. An agroecological Europe in 2050, “Ten Years For Agroecology” (TYFA) scenario</h4><h6>Pierre-Marie Aubert and Xavier Poux</h6><h5>Introduction</h5><h5>TYFA scenario assumptions</h5><h5>Results</h5><h5>Discussion</h5><h5>Conclusion: reviewing the role of permanent grasslands and ruminants in the sustainability agenda</h5><h3>Part 3. Transversal analysis of foresight exercises and scenario modelling-assessment</h3><h4>Chapter 11. Analysis frameworks for coupling approaches to better combine foresight and assessment</h4><h6>Mathieu Vigne and Jonathan Vayssières</h6><h5>Why use a framework to help choose the type of coupling?</h5><h5>Assessments play various roles in the coupling process</h5><h5>The choice of coupling type is based on data availability</h5><h5>From an analysis framework to a typology for coupling frameworks</h5><h5>Conclusion and outlook</h5><h4>Chapter 12. Components of agri-food systems and variables in foresight scenarios</h4><h6>Aurélie Wilfart, Olivier Mora and Sandrine Espagnol</h6><h5>Assumptions and background data for foresight scenarios</h5><h5>Foresight scenario assessment methods</h5><h4>Chapter 13. Possible futures for livestock farming and ownership by policy makers</h4><h6>Aurélie Wilfart, Olivier Mora and Sandrine Espagnol</h6><h5>Introduction: the role of foresight studies in the public policy cycle</h5><h5>Livestock farming at the centre of numerous French government departments</h5><h5>The main political actions concerning livestock farming in France</h5><h5>How are foresight studies used in French public policy?</h5><h5>What about in other contexts elsewhere in the world?</h5><h4>General conclusion. Key points to remember</h4><h6>Jonathan Vayssières and Aurélie Wilfart</h6><h5>Thematic summary</h5><h5>Methodological summary</h5><h5>Functional summary</h5><h4>Bibliographic references</h4><h4>Abbreviations and units</h4><h4>List of authors</h4>
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EA
10
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CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 FR
02
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.0/fr/
10
01
02
Update Sciences & technologies
Cette collection publie des ouvrages en français ou en anglais faisant le point sur des avancées récentes dans les domaines des sciences et des technologies. Elle est destinée aux spécialistes du domaine.
01
01
The futures of livestock farming in agri-food systems
Foresight analysis and multicriteria assessment of scenarios
1
B15
01
A2766
21
0000-0002-3593-0334
Aurélie Wilfart
Wilfart, Aurélie
Aurélie
Wilfart
<p>Aurélie Wilfart est agronome zootechnicienne et ingénieure de recherche à INRAE (UMR SAS). Son domaine de recherche porte sur l’évaluation environnementale et multicritère des systèmes d’élevages terrestres et aquatiques, à différentes échelles spatiales, essentiellement en France et en Europe.</p>
<p>Aurélie Wilfart is an agricultural zootechnician and research engineer at INRAE (UMR SAS). Her focus of research is on the environmental and multicriteria assessment of livestock farming and aquaculture systems at different spatial scales, mostly in France and Europe.</p>
2
B15
01
A2767
21
0000-0003-3127-7208
Jonathan Vayssières
Vayssières, Jonathan
Jonathan
Vayssières
<p>Jonathan Vayssières est agronome modélisateur et chercheur au Cirad (UMR Selmet). Il mène des recherches sur la modélisation intégrée et pluri-niveaux des stock-flux de matière et d’énergie dans les territoires agricoles en Afrique de l’Ouest et dans les îles de l’Océan indien.</p>
<p>Jonathan Vayssières is an agronomist specialized in modelling and researcher at CIRAD (UMR Selmet). His focus of research is on integrated, multi-level modelling of material and energy stocks and flows in agricultural territories in West Africa and the Indian Ocean islands.</p>
01
eng
08
212
03
02
24
Izibook:Subject
Pays du sud
24
Izibook:Subject
Milieux naturels et environnement
24
Izibook:Subject
Élevage et productions animales
24
Izibook:Subject
Alimentation et nutrition humaine
24
Izibook:Subject
Sciences sociales, politiques, économiques
24
Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Pays du sud|
24
Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Milieux naturels et environnement|Territoire et espace rural
24
Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Élevage et productions animales|Systèmes d’élevage
24
Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Alimentation et nutrition humaine|Sécurité, qualité alimentaire
24
Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Sciences sociales, politiques, économiques|Politiques. Expertise;Développement, développement durable
23
Izibook:NewTags
Milieux naturels et environnement|Territoire et espace rural
23
Izibook:NewTags
Élevage et productions animales|Systèmes d’élevage
23
Izibook:NewTags
Alimentation et nutrition humaine|Sécurité, qualité alimentaire
23
Izibook:NewTags
Sciences sociales, politiques, économiques|Politiques. Expertise;Développement, développement durable
20
Système alimentaire;élevage;territoire;agriculture
10
2011
TEC003020
29
3070
29
3082
01
303
01
636
03
00
<p>The global food system is facing three major challenges: providing food security, protecting the environment and improving human health. These challenges place livestock farming at a crossroads. However, changes in diets, population growth and changes in the agricultural landscape vary depending on the regions of the world. These dynamics raise questions about the role of livestock farming in territories, the types of farming, its impacts and the services it can provide. How can we anticipate these changes and assess their consequences?</p><p>This book presents several different foresight studies that were carried out in different contexts (Global North and Global South) and at different scales (from local to global). It examines the connection between qualitative (joint) scenario building methods and quantitative modelling and assessment approaches. This work also explores the time sequence for the foresight–modelling–assessment cycle, identifying key variables, using data and the role stakeholders play in this whole process, especially when it comes to using these results to make decisions.</p><p>This book is based on work arising from the Research School that was organized by INRAE and CIRAD within the framework of the Macro-Livestock-Environment Joint Technology Network (RMT MAELE). The target audience is the scientific community engaged in interdisciplinary approaches. It will also be of interest to anyone working with agriculture, the environment and food, as well as to persons working in the field of sustainable agricultural development.</p><div><br></div>
02
00
<p>This book explores the integration of qualitative foresight approaches and quantitative modelling and assessment methods to anticipate the future of livestock farming within agri-food systems and its implications for the sustainable development of regions. </p>
04
00
<h4>Preface</h4><h4>Acknowledgements</h4><h4>General introduction</h4><h6>Aurélie Wilfart, Sandrine Espagnol, Mathieu Vigne, Olivier Mora and Jonathan Vayssières</h6><h3>Part 1. Foresight studies and changes in livestock farming within territories</h3><h4>Chapter 1. Foresight and questions surrounding livestock farming</h4><h6>Olivier Mora and Audrey Béthinger</h6><h5>Introduction to foresight approaches</h5><h5>Role of foresight analysis and scenarios in addressing uncertainty and complexity</h5><h5>The challenge of livestock farming in global foresight scenarios</h5><h5>Diverse ways of approaching the future of livestock farming</h5><h4>Chapter 2. Agriculture in Brittany in 2040: an exploratory foresight study in the region of Brittany</h4><h6>Maud Marguet</h6><h5>The start of the project</h5><h5>Baseline studies prior to constructing a foresight system</h5><h5>Building foresight systems</h5><h5>Conclusion</h5><h4>Chapter 3. Towards peaceful transhumance at the border between Togo and Burkina Faso. A territorial and anticipatory approach</h4><h6>Jean-Michel Sourisseau and Véronique Ancey</h6><h5>Study background and objectives</h5><h5>General approach</h5><h5>Outcomes and lessons learned</h5><h5>Perspectives</h5><h5>Conclusions</h5><h4>Chapter 4. Transition(s) 2050, prospective modelling of the French agricultural and food sectors</h4><h6>Antoine Pierart</h6><h5>Introduction</h5><h5>Methodology</h5><h5>Limitations and outlooks</h5><h5>Coupling “foresight and assessment”</h5><h5>Conclusion</h5><h4>Chapter 5. The importance of livestock farming and animal products in the Agrimonde-Terra foresight project on land use and global food security in 2050</h4><h6>Olivier Mora and Chantal Le Mouël</h6><h5>The Agrimonde-Terra method: combination of a scenario method and digital simulation approach</h5><h5>Land use and global food security scenarios and their quantified impacts</h5><h5>Future challenges of livestock production for food and nutrition security</h5><h5>Limitations of livestock quantification in Agrimonde-Terra scenarios</h5><h5>Conclusion</h5><h3>Part 2. The inclusion of modelling and scenario assessments in foresight approaches</h3><h4>Chapter 6. Introduction to scenario modelling and assessments</h4><h6>Jonathan Vayssières, Mathieu Vigne and Aurélie Wilfart</h6><h5>Why do scenarios from foresight studies need to be modelled and assessed?</h5><h5>An introduction to modelling and assessment approaches</h5><h5>Four studies illustrating the diversity of modelling-assessment methods and their use in foresight studies</h5><h4>Chapter 7. Use of the MAELIA platform to perform an integrated assessment and modelling of agricultural systems and farmlands within a foresight approach</h4><h6>Olivier Therond</h6><h5>From sustainability issues to integrated approaches</h5><h5>Yes, there needs to be integration, but of what?</h5><h5>An integrated modelling approach to territories</h5><h5>MAELIA, an integrated assessment and modelling platform for agricultural systems and farmlands</h5><h5>MAELIA, supporting dynamics in several application areas</h5><h5>MAELIA, streamlining research and supporting agriculture and bioeconomy actors</h5><h5>Specific features of the MAELIA platform</h5><h5>Maelia to support territorial foresight approaches</h5><h4>Chapter 8. Assessing the multifunctionality of livestock grazing systems within territories: examples from the Sahel and South-East Asia</h4><h6>Alexandre Ickowicz, Mélanie Blanchard, Vincent Blanfort, Jean Daniel Cesaro, Christian Corniaux, Arona Diaw, Bernard Hubert, Jacques Lasseur, Huyen Le Thi Thanh, Jean-Pierre Müller, Liz Wedderburn</h6><h5>Introduction</h5><h5>Why apply a multifunctionality concept to livestock grazing systems</h5><h5>Building a multifunctional conceptual model to support the dynamics of local livestock grazing systems</h5><h5>Case studies using a multifunctionality approach to livestock farming in Vietnam and Senegal</h5><h5>Transversal multifunctionality analysis</h5><h5>Conclusion</h5><h4>Chapter 9. Afterres 2050: from creating scenarios to assessing them</h4><h6>Christian Couturier</h6><h5>History and objectives of the Afterres 2050 scenario</h5><h5>Foundations of the approach</h5><h5>Exploring the Afterres 2050 scenario</h5><h5>Targets</h5><h4>Chapter 10. An agroecological Europe in 2050, “Ten Years For Agroecology” (TYFA) scenario</h4><h6>Pierre-Marie Aubert and Xavier Poux</h6><h5>Introduction</h5><h5>TYFA scenario assumptions</h5><h5>Results</h5><h5>Discussion</h5><h5>Conclusion: reviewing the role of permanent grasslands and ruminants in the sustainability agenda</h5><h3>Part 3. Transversal analysis of foresight exercises and scenario modelling-assessment</h3><h4>Chapter 11. Analysis frameworks for coupling approaches to better combine foresight and assessment</h4><h6>Mathieu Vigne and Jonathan Vayssières</h6><h5>Why use a framework to help choose the type of coupling?</h5><h5>Assessments play various roles in the coupling process</h5><h5>The choice of coupling type is based on data availability</h5><h5>From an analysis framework to a typology for coupling frameworks</h5><h5>Conclusion and outlook</h5><h4>Chapter 12. Components of agri-food systems and variables in foresight scenarios</h4><h6>Aurélie Wilfart, Olivier Mora and Sandrine Espagnol</h6><h5>Assumptions and background data for foresight scenarios</h5><h5>Foresight scenario assessment methods</h5><h4>Chapter 13. Possible futures for livestock farming and ownership by policy makers</h4><h6>Aurélie Wilfart, Olivier Mora and Sandrine Espagnol</h6><h5>Introduction: the role of foresight studies in the public policy cycle</h5><h5>Livestock farming at the centre of numerous French government departments</h5><h5>The main political actions concerning livestock farming in France</h5><h5>How are foresight studies used in French public policy?</h5><h5>What about in other contexts elsewhere in the world?</h5><h4>General conclusion. Key points to remember</h4><h6>Jonathan Vayssières and Aurélie Wilfart</h6><h5>Thematic summary</h5><h5>Methodological summary</h5><h5>Functional summary</h5><h4>Bibliographic references</h4><h4>Abbreviations and units</h4><h4>List of authors</h4>
21
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https://www.quae.com/produit/2050/9782759243020/the-futures-of-livestock-farming-in-agri-food-systems
01
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https://www.quae.com/system/product_pictures/data/010/007/621/original/03064BDW_The-futures-of-livestock-farming.jpg
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20260608T121806+0200
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EA
10
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CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 FR
02
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.0/fr/
10
01
02
Update Sciences & technologies
Cette collection publie des ouvrages en français ou en anglais faisant le point sur des avancées récentes dans les domaines des sciences et des technologies. Elle est destinée aux spécialistes du domaine.
01
01
The futures of livestock farming in agri-food systems
Foresight analysis and multicriteria assessment of scenarios
1
B15
01
A2766
21
0000-0002-3593-0334
Aurélie Wilfart
Wilfart, Aurélie
Aurélie
Wilfart
<p>Aurélie Wilfart est agronome zootechnicienne et ingénieure de recherche à INRAE (UMR SAS). Son domaine de recherche porte sur l’évaluation environnementale et multicritère des systèmes d’élevages terrestres et aquatiques, à différentes échelles spatiales, essentiellement en France et en Europe.</p>
<p>Aurélie Wilfart is an agricultural zootechnician and research engineer at INRAE (UMR SAS). Her focus of research is on the environmental and multicriteria assessment of livestock farming and aquaculture systems at different spatial scales, mostly in France and Europe.</p>
2
B15
01
A2767
21
0000-0003-3127-7208
Jonathan Vayssières
Vayssières, Jonathan
Jonathan
Vayssières
<p>Jonathan Vayssières est agronome modélisateur et chercheur au Cirad (UMR Selmet). Il mène des recherches sur la modélisation intégrée et pluri-niveaux des stock-flux de matière et d’énergie dans les territoires agricoles en Afrique de l’Ouest et dans les îles de l’Océan indien.</p>
<p>Jonathan Vayssières is an agronomist specialized in modelling and researcher at CIRAD (UMR Selmet). His focus of research is on integrated, multi-level modelling of material and energy stocks and flows in agricultural territories in West Africa and the Indian Ocean islands.</p>
01
eng
08
212
03
02
24
Izibook:Subject
Pays du sud
24
Izibook:Subject
Milieux naturels et environnement
24
Izibook:Subject
Élevage et productions animales
24
Izibook:Subject
Alimentation et nutrition humaine
24
Izibook:Subject
Sciences sociales, politiques, économiques
24
Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Pays du sud|
24
Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Milieux naturels et environnement|Territoire et espace rural
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Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Élevage et productions animales|Systèmes d’élevage
24
Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Alimentation et nutrition humaine|Sécurité, qualité alimentaire
24
Izibook:SubjectAndCategoryAndTags
|Sciences sociales, politiques, économiques|Politiques. Expertise;Développement, développement durable
23
Izibook:NewTags
Milieux naturels et environnement|Territoire et espace rural
23
Izibook:NewTags
Élevage et productions animales|Systèmes d’élevage
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Izibook:NewTags
Alimentation et nutrition humaine|Sécurité, qualité alimentaire
23
Izibook:NewTags
Sciences sociales, politiques, économiques|Politiques. Expertise;Développement, développement durable
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Système alimentaire;élevage;territoire;agriculture
10
2011
TEC003020
29
3070
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3082
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303
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636
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<p>The global food system is facing three major challenges: providing food security, protecting the environment and improving human health. These challenges place livestock farming at a crossroads. However, changes in diets, population growth and changes in the agricultural landscape vary depending on the regions of the world. These dynamics raise questions about the role of livestock farming in territories, the types of farming, its impacts and the services it can provide. How can we anticipate these changes and assess their consequences?</p><p>This book presents several different foresight studies that were carried out in different contexts (Global North and Global South) and at different scales (from local to global). It examines the connection between qualitative (joint) scenario building methods and quantitative modelling and assessment approaches. This work also explores the time sequence for the foresight–modelling–assessment cycle, identifying key variables, using data and the role stakeholders play in this whole process, especially when it comes to using these results to make decisions.</p><p>This book is based on work arising from the Research School that was organized by INRAE and CIRAD within the framework of the Macro-Livestock-Environment Joint Technology Network (RMT MAELE). The target audience is the scientific community engaged in interdisciplinary approaches. It will also be of interest to anyone working with agriculture, the environment and food, as well as to persons working in the field of sustainable agricultural development.</p><div><br></div>
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<p>This book explores the integration of qualitative foresight approaches and quantitative modelling and assessment methods to anticipate the future of livestock farming within agri-food systems and its implications for the sustainable development of regions. </p>
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<h4>Preface</h4><h4>Acknowledgements</h4><h4>General introduction</h4><h6>Aurélie Wilfart, Sandrine Espagnol, Mathieu Vigne, Olivier Mora and Jonathan Vayssières</h6><h3>Part 1. Foresight studies and changes in livestock farming within territories</h3><h4>Chapter 1. Foresight and questions surrounding livestock farming</h4><h6>Olivier Mora and Audrey Béthinger</h6><h5>Introduction to foresight approaches</h5><h5>Role of foresight analysis and scenarios in addressing uncertainty and complexity</h5><h5>The challenge of livestock farming in global foresight scenarios</h5><h5>Diverse ways of approaching the future of livestock farming</h5><h4>Chapter 2. Agriculture in Brittany in 2040: an exploratory foresight study in the region of Brittany</h4><h6>Maud Marguet</h6><h5>The start of the project</h5><h5>Baseline studies prior to constructing a foresight system</h5><h5>Building foresight systems</h5><h5>Conclusion</h5><h4>Chapter 3. Towards peaceful transhumance at the border between Togo and Burkina Faso. A territorial and anticipatory approach</h4><h6>Jean-Michel Sourisseau and Véronique Ancey</h6><h5>Study background and objectives</h5><h5>General approach</h5><h5>Outcomes and lessons learned</h5><h5>Perspectives</h5><h5>Conclusions</h5><h4>Chapter 4. Transition(s) 2050, prospective modelling of the French agricultural and food sectors</h4><h6>Antoine Pierart</h6><h5>Introduction</h5><h5>Methodology</h5><h5>Limitations and outlooks</h5><h5>Coupling “foresight and assessment”</h5><h5>Conclusion</h5><h4>Chapter 5. The importance of livestock farming and animal products in the Agrimonde-Terra foresight project on land use and global food security in 2050</h4><h6>Olivier Mora and Chantal Le Mouël</h6><h5>The Agrimonde-Terra method: combination of a scenario method and digital simulation approach</h5><h5>Land use and global food security scenarios and their quantified impacts</h5><h5>Future challenges of livestock production for food and nutrition security</h5><h5>Limitations of livestock quantification in Agrimonde-Terra scenarios</h5><h5>Conclusion</h5><h3>Part 2. The inclusion of modelling and scenario assessments in foresight approaches</h3><h4>Chapter 6. Introduction to scenario modelling and assessments</h4><h6>Jonathan Vayssières, Mathieu Vigne and Aurélie Wilfart</h6><h5>Why do scenarios from foresight studies need to be modelled and assessed?</h5><h5>An introduction to modelling and assessment approaches</h5><h5>Four studies illustrating the diversity of modelling-assessment methods and their use in foresight studies</h5><h4>Chapter 7. Use of the MAELIA platform to perform an integrated assessment and modelling of agricultural systems and farmlands within a foresight approach</h4><h6>Olivier Therond</h6><h5>From sustainability issues to integrated approaches</h5><h5>Yes, there needs to be integration, but of what?</h5><h5>An integrated modelling approach to territories</h5><h5>MAELIA, an integrated assessment and modelling platform for agricultural systems and farmlands</h5><h5>MAELIA, supporting dynamics in several application areas</h5><h5>MAELIA, streamlining research and supporting agriculture and bioeconomy actors</h5><h5>Specific features of the MAELIA platform</h5><h5>Maelia to support territorial foresight approaches</h5><h4>Chapter 8. Assessing the multifunctionality of livestock grazing systems within territories: examples from the Sahel and South-East Asia</h4><h6>Alexandre Ickowicz, Mélanie Blanchard, Vincent Blanfort, Jean Daniel Cesaro, Christian Corniaux, Arona Diaw, Bernard Hubert, Jacques Lasseur, Huyen Le Thi Thanh, Jean-Pierre Müller, Liz Wedderburn</h6><h5>Introduction</h5><h5>Why apply a multifunctionality concept to livestock grazing systems</h5><h5>Building a multifunctional conceptual model to support the dynamics of local livestock grazing systems</h5><h5>Case studies using a multifunctionality approach to livestock farming in Vietnam and Senegal</h5><h5>Transversal multifunctionality analysis</h5><h5>Conclusion</h5><h4>Chapter 9. Afterres 2050: from creating scenarios to assessing them</h4><h6>Christian Couturier</h6><h5>History and objectives of the Afterres 2050 scenario</h5><h5>Foundations of the approach</h5><h5>Exploring the Afterres 2050 scenario</h5><h5>Targets</h5><h4>Chapter 10. An agroecological Europe in 2050, “Ten Years For Agroecology” (TYFA) scenario</h4><h6>Pierre-Marie Aubert and Xavier Poux</h6><h5>Introduction</h5><h5>TYFA scenario assumptions</h5><h5>Results</h5><h5>Discussion</h5><h5>Conclusion: reviewing the role of permanent grasslands and ruminants in the sustainability agenda</h5><h3>Part 3. Transversal analysis of foresight exercises and scenario modelling-assessment</h3><h4>Chapter 11. Analysis frameworks for coupling approaches to better combine foresight and assessment</h4><h6>Mathieu Vigne and Jonathan Vayssières</h6><h5>Why use a framework to help choose the type of coupling?</h5><h5>Assessments play various roles in the coupling process</h5><h5>The choice of coupling type is based on data availability</h5><h5>From an analysis framework to a typology for coupling frameworks</h5><h5>Conclusion and outlook</h5><h4>Chapter 12. Components of agri-food systems and variables in foresight scenarios</h4><h6>Aurélie Wilfart, Olivier Mora and Sandrine Espagnol</h6><h5>Assumptions and background data for foresight scenarios</h5><h5>Foresight scenario assessment methods</h5><h4>Chapter 13. Possible futures for livestock farming and ownership by policy makers</h4><h6>Aurélie Wilfart, Olivier Mora and Sandrine Espagnol</h6><h5>Introduction: the role of foresight studies in the public policy cycle</h5><h5>Livestock farming at the centre of numerous French government departments</h5><h5>The main political actions concerning livestock farming in France</h5><h5>How are foresight studies used in French public policy?</h5><h5>What about in other contexts elsewhere in the world?</h5><h4>General conclusion. Key points to remember</h4><h6>Jonathan Vayssières and Aurélie Wilfart</h6><h5>Thematic summary</h5><h5>Methodological summary</h5><h5>Functional summary</h5><h4>Bibliographic references</h4><h4>Abbreviations and units</h4><h4>List of authors</h4>
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